SAN FRANCISCO – Safeway Inc.'s
fourth-quarter profit surged 77 percent to cap the grocer's
best performance in five years, a comeback driven by
contentious cost cutting and a recent makeover that has
infused more elegance into its stores.
Although the results released Thursday exceeded analyst
expectations, the showing still wasn't enough to satisfy
investors apparently disappointed by Safeway's slowing sales
growth and conservative outlook for this year. Safeway
shares dropped by more than 3 percent.
The Pleasanton-based company said it earned
$307.9 million, or 69 cents per share, in the three months
ended Dec. 30. That compared with net income of $173.5
million, or 39 cents per share, at the same time in 2005.
If not for a series of tax benefits, Safeway said it
would have earned 61 cents per share. That figure was a
penny above the average estimate among analysts polled by
Thomson Financial.
Safeway's fourth-quarter earnings gains would have been
less impressive if not for additional costs for employee
buyouts and store closures incurred at the end of 2005. On
an apples-to-apples basis, Safeway said its earnings for
last year's final quarter rose by 24 percent.
Fourth-quarter sales totaled $12.5 billion, a 4 percent
increase from $12.05 billion in the prior year.
In a more telling measure of its health, Safeway's
“identical-store” sales, excluding gasoline, improved by 3.5
percent, slightly below the supermarket chain's pace earlier
in 2006. The barometer basically measures sales at stores
that have been open at least a year without undergoing a
significant overhaul.
Safeway is expecting sales growth to remain roughly the
same in 2007, an indication that its turnaround may have
reached plateau, said Jeff Embersits, a former industry
analyst who is now a portfolio manager for Shareholder Value
Management. Embersits is betting Safeway's stock will
continue to fall in the months ahead.
Although Safeway's sales growth is tapering off, the
grocer appears to have regained its stride after stumbling
through years of labor strife, losses from bungled
acquisitions and tougher competition from discount merchants
like Wal-Mart Stores Inc.
For all of 2006, Safeway made $870.6 million, its highest
annual profit since earning $1.25 billion in 2001. Sales
last year increased five percent to $40.2 billion.
Despite the company's momentum, management's outlook for
2007 remained unchanged from projections issued two months
ago when Safeway forecast earnings of $1.90 to $2 per share,
excluding special items.
Safeway already is “comfortably ahead” of that pace so
far this year, Chairman Steve Burd assured analysts during a
Thursday conference call. “Everything is working, from cost
controls to sales improvements,” Burd said. “The business is
hitting on all cylinders.”
Those words didn't appease investors as Safeway shares
shed $1.36, or 3.7 percent, to close at $35.60 on the New
York Stock Exchange. Although the company's stock price has
climbed by 50 percent since the end of 2005, it remains well
below of the highs reached in late 2000 and early 2001 when
the shares rose above $60.
Safeway's downturn began as Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and
other discount retailers began to sell more groceries,
luring more budget-minded shoppers from traditional
supermarkets saddled with higher expenses because of
long-standing commitments to workers represented by labor
unions.
Burd, Safeway's chief executive for the past 14 years,
responded by trying to curtail the wage increases and
benefits of the grocer's store workers. The cost cutting
decimated employee morale and, in Southern California,
provoked a bitter labor dispute that lasted for more than
four months during 2003 and 2004.
As Safeway negotiates a new labor contract in Southern
California, Burd vowed to hold the line on costs again. “We
will negotiate a contract that will allow us to be
competitive in the market,” Burd told analysts Thursday.
Burd offered little hope of having a new Southern
California deal in place when the current contract expires
March 5. He said Safeway hasn't agreed to a new labor
contract before the expiration of the previous deal in 19 of
its last 20 negotiations. On average, it has taken an
additional seven months for Safeway and labor leaders to
reach an accord, Burd said.
Besides lowering expenses, Burd has been investing
heavily to change the look and feel of Safeway's stores in
an effort to reel in more shoppers looking for something
other than the more mundane experience offered by Wal-Mart
and similar low-priced retailers. By the end of 2006, about
43 percent of Safeway's 1,761 stores had adopted the new
format.
Safeway hopes to have all its stores remodeled by the end
of 2009.